| Submitted Final Plat Lots* | Recorded Subdivision Lots | Building Permits | Recorded Surveys | Vacant Lots | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ID | Ada | 661 | 1648 | 1120 | 121 | 5270 |
| ID | Canyon | 489 | 394 | 432 | 115 | 2125 |
* Submitted Lots data may be delayed depending on each agency's reporting process.
With 1,552 new residential construction permits issued versus 2,042 new subdivision lots recorded during 2018 Q3, a long overdue replenishment of our dwindling vacant lots supply netted a gain of 490 residential lots available for home building.
* Submitted Lots data may be delayed depending on each agency's reporting process.
** MLS Sales Data—Intermountain Multiple Listing Service, Inc. (http://publicstats.intermountainmls.com/static/staticreports.aspx)
As seen in the green line above, a decline in 3rd quarter building activity is expected as a seasonal trend. But the recent drop was much sharper than in previous years, and could be the result of various factors that affect construction rates. That said, a tightening bottleneck on construction was predicted in previous quarter analyses based purely on supply and demand reasoning.
Aside from the exception of a blue-line spike in 2016 Q4, vacant lots have been consistently consumed at a greater speed than new subdivisions have replenished during each quarter. As the supply of vacant lots dwindles, new challenges inevitably arise that thwart the streamlined production opportunities of a market with more abundant inventory.
From the consumer side, a decline in MLS new home sales in Q3 versus Q2 diverges from previous seasonal trends, as shown by the yellow line. But a brief survey of MLS Sales Statistics shows increasing average and median prices all year long, as well as fewer Days on Market. Moreover, the volume of Existing Homes sold was largely unchanged between Q2 and Q3. These together suggest that buyer demand remains high, but reduced construction rates impacted the availabilty of new homes and consumption was forced to slow as well.
All in all, land development timelines and the reducing vacant lots supply appear to have influenced downstream market events this quarter. As winter now contributes to construction slowdowns and lighter buyer demand, the development community has a window of opportunity to prepare new lots before Spring of 2019 kicks construction back into high gear.
* Submitted Lots data may be delayed depending on each agency's reporting process.
| Builder | New Residential Permits |
|---|---|
Corey Barton Homes, Inc. | 133 |
Toll Bros., Inc. | 79 |
Hubble Homes, LLC | 62 |
Hayden Homes Idaho, LLC | 49 |
Blackrock Homes LLC | 47 |
Brighton Homes | 46 |
Riverwood Homes, Inc. | 34 |
Biltmore Company LLC | 30 |
Alturas Homes, LLC | 25 |
Hunter Homes, Inc. | 24 |
Others | 591 |
Total | 1120 |
| Builder | New Residential Permits |
|---|---|
Corey Barton Homes, Inc. | 124 |
Hubble Homes, LLC | 78 |
Perryman Construction Management Inc. | 28 |
Toll Bros., Inc. | 24 |
Amh Development, LLC | 11 |
Hayden Homes Idaho, LLC | 9 |
Biltmore Company LLC | 7 |
Tresidio Corporation | 6 |
Brookstone Custom Homes | 6 |
Sunset Homes Inc. | 5 |
Others | 134 |
Total | 432 |
| Surveyor | Lots - Residential | Lots - Total |
|---|---|---|
Gregory G Carter | 569 | 644 |
Michael S Byrns | 236 | 273 |
Clinton W Hansen | 164 | 189 |
Aaron L Ballard | 126 | 150 |
Carl Porter | 121 | 130 |
Michael H Celt | 53 | 59 |
Cody McCammon | 50 | 54 |
Terry Peugh | 48 | 60 |
Travis P Foster | 40 | 44 |
Kelly S Kehrer | 35 | 53 |
Others | 206 | 292 |
Total | 1648 | 1948 |
| Surveyor | Lots - Residential | Lots - Total |
|---|---|---|
Gregory G Carter | 120 | 131 |
Michael S Byrns | 91 | 102 |
Travis P Foster | 49 | 56 |
Richard A Gray | 38 | 43 |
Jeff Beagley | 33 | 41 |
Kevin N Sorensen | 22 | 24 |
Darin A Holzhey | 18 | 22 |
Fritz Brownell | 13 | 14 |
Thomas J Wellard | 4 | 5 |
Kenneth H Cook | 4 | 4 |
Others | 2 | 3 |
Total | 394 | 445 |
| Engineer Firm | Lots - Residential | Lots - Total |
|---|---|---|
Bailey Engineering, Inc. | 249 | 289 |
J-U-B Engineers, Inc. | 236 | 273 |
Civil Innovations, PLLC | 192 | 217 |
RiveRidge Engineering Company | 165 | 183 |
CK Engineering, PC | 146 | 166 |
KM Engineering, LLP | 114 | 146 |
Civil Site Works LLC | 108 | 118 |
Horrocks Engineers, Inc. | 90 | 96 |
Land Group, Inc. (The) | 78 | 105 |
WHPacific, Inc. | 62 | 70 |
Others | 208 | 285 |
Total | 1648 | 1948 |
| Engineer Firm | Lots - Residential | Lots - Total |
|---|---|---|
J-U-B Engineers, Inc. | 91 | 102 |
Bailey Engineering, Inc. | 59 | 64 |
WHPacific, Inc. | 49 | 56 |
CK Engineering, PC | 32 | 34 |
Rennison Engineering | 31 | 39 |
T-O Engineers, Inc. | 22 | 24 |
Mason & Associates, Inc. | 17 | 20 |
Horrocks Engineers, Inc. | 13 | 14 |
Aspen Engineers, Chartered | 7 | 7 |
Mason & Stanfield, Inc. | 1 | 2 |
Others | 72 | 83 |
Total | 394 | 445 |
| Surveyor Firm | Surveys |
|---|---|
Accurate Surveying & Mapping, P.C. | 22 |
Fox Land Surveys, Inc. | 15 |
Idaho Survey Group, LLC | 10 |
Tealey's Land Surveying | 9 |
B & A Engineers, Inc. | 7 |
Marks Land Surveying, Inc. | 6 |
Sawtooth Land Surveying, LLC | 6 |
J-U-B Engineers, Inc. | 5 |
J.J. Howard Engineering and Surveying | 5 |
Eagle Land Surveying, LLC. | 4 |
Others | 32 |
Total | 121 |
| Surveyor Firm | Surveys |
|---|---|
Skinner Land Survey Co., Inc. | 22 |
Mason & Associates, Inc. | 9 |
Compass Land Surveying, PLLC | 8 |
David Evans and Associates, Inc. | 8 |
Sawtooth Land Surveying, LLC | 7 |
Eagle Land Surveying, LLC. | 6 |
Timberline Surveying PLLC | 6 |
Idaho Survey Group, LLC | 5 |
T-O Engineers, Inc. | 5 |
Fox Land Surveys, Inc. | 4 |
Others | 35 |
Total | 115 |
| Surveyor Firm | Surveys |
|---|---|
Sawtooth Land Surveying, LLC | 16 |
Idaho Survey Group, LLC | 6 |
Civil Survey Consultants, Inc. | 3 |
J-U-B Engineers, Inc. | 3 |
Accurate Surveying & Mapping, P.C. | 2 |
Fox Land Surveys, Inc. | 1 |
KM Engineering, LLP | 1 |
Land Solutions, Land Surveying and Consulting, PC | 1 |
Others | 0 |
Total | 33 |
| Surveyor Firm | Surveys |
|---|---|
Sawtooth Land Surveying, LLC | 9 |
Idaho Survey Group, LLC | 8 |
T-O Engineers, Inc. | 8 |
Horrocks Engineers, Inc. | 5 |
Skinner Land Survey Co., Inc. | 3 |
WHPacific, Inc. | 3 |
Atlas Land Surveying | 1 |
Fox Land Surveys, Inc. | 1 |
J-U-B Engineers, Inc. | 1 |
Others | 0 |
Total | 39 |
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